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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Crawley Town |
51.67% ( 0.08) | 23.12% ( -0.03) | 25.21% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 58.19% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.6% ( 0.07) | 42.4% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.2% ( 0.07) | 64.8% ( -0.07) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.52% ( 0.06) | 16.48% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.81% ( 0.1) | 46.19% ( -0.1) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.68% ( -0) | 30.33% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.49% ( -0.01) | 66.51% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Crawley Town |
2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 51.67% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.12% | 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 25.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |