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Wrexham AFC
League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Crawley Town

Wrexham
2 - 1
Crawley

Lee (24'), Cleworth (79')
Dobson (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Quitirna (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wrexham and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 3-1 Wrexham
Monday, September 16 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Stockport
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 3-1 Crawley Town

Wrexham have won all four competitive home games this season by a combined 11-3 scoreline, and we think that they will make full use of their dominance on home turf to sweep past Crawley at the Racecourse Ground. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
WrexhamDrawCrawley Town
51.67% (0.081999999999994 0.08) 23.12% (-0.026 -0.03) 25.21% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 58.19% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.6% (0.073999999999998 0.07)42.4% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.2% (0.074000000000005 0.07)64.8% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.52% (0.057000000000002 0.06)16.48% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.81% (0.101 0.1)46.19% (-0.1 -0.1)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.33% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)66.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 51.67%
    Crawley Town 25.21%
    Draw 23.12%
WrexhamDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.12% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.88% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 51.67%
1-1 @ 10.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 25.21%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Crawley

Wrexham
94.1%
Draw
2.9%
Crawley Town
2.9%
34
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Wrexham
4-1
Crawley
Barnett (21'), Mullin (23', 82'), Cannon (76')
Bolton (90+5')
Lolas (90+4')
Maguire (31')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Crawley
0-1
Wrexham

Wright (70'), Gordon (90+2')
Palmer (13')
Palmer (33'), Mendy (43'), McClean (45+1'), Hayden (76'), Fletcher (82'), O'Connor (90+7')
Cannon (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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