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League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Crawley Town

Wrexham
2 - 1
Crawley

Lee (24'), Cleworth (79')
Dobson (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Quitirna (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wrexham and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 3-1 Wrexham
Monday, September 16 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Stockport
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 3-1 Crawley Town

Wrexham have won all four competitive home games this season by a combined 11-3 scoreline, and we think that they will make full use of their dominance on home turf to sweep past Crawley at the Racecourse Ground. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
WrexhamDrawCrawley Town
51.67% (0.081999999999994 0.08) 23.12% (-0.026 -0.03) 25.21% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 58.19% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.6% (0.073999999999998 0.07)42.4% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.2% (0.074000000000005 0.07)64.8% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.52% (0.057000000000002 0.06)16.48% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.81% (0.101 0.1)46.19% (-0.1 -0.1)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.33% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)66.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 51.67%
    Crawley Town 25.21%
    Draw 23.12%
WrexhamDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.12% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.88% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 51.67%
1-1 @ 10.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 25.21%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Crawley

Wrexham
94.1%
Draw
2.9%
Crawley Town
2.9%
34
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Wrexham
4-1
Crawley
Barnett (21'), Mullin (23', 82'), Cannon (76')
Bolton (90+5')
Lolas (90+4')
Maguire (31')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Crawley
0-1
Wrexham

Wright (70'), Gordon (90+2')
Palmer (13')
Palmer (33'), Mendy (43'), McClean (45+1'), Hayden (76'), Fletcher (82'), O'Connor (90+7')
Cannon (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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