Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.