Shrewsbury play a league higher than Wrexham and will also have home advantage on Sunday, but we fancy the Welsh outfit to triumph here. Wrexham have so much quality in the forward positions, and Parkinson's team will fancy their chances of advancing to the fourth round of the tournament.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 47.45%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
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