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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
40.68% ( 0.64) | 27.65% ( -0.11) | 31.67% ( -0.54) |
Both teams to score 48.16% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.51% ( 0.29) | 57.49% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.72% ( 0.22) | 78.28% ( -0.23) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.27% ( 0.5) | 27.72% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.71% ( 0.63) | 63.29% ( -0.64) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.63% ( -0.23) | 33.37% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30% ( -0.25) | 70% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.67% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 38 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
15 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 27 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Burton Albion | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
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