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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 22.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
22.94% ( -0.22) | 24.69% ( 0.07) | 52.37% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 50.58% ( -0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.73% ( -0.51) | 51.27% ( 0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.9% ( -0.45) | 73.1% ( 0.45) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.87% ( -0.49) | 37.13% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.08% ( -0.49) | 73.92% ( 0.49) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.45% ( -0.14) | 19.55% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.54% ( -0.23) | 51.46% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.71% Total : 22.94% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.26% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 52.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 38 |
2 | Wrexham | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 34 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 33 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Barnsley | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Reading | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 27 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 23 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 21 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 20 |
16 | Blackpool | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 20 |
17 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |