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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Wycombe Wanderers

Stevenage
0 - 3
Wycombe


Phillips (22'), Kemp (75'), List (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kone (8', 44'), Lubala (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Stevenage and Wycombe Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Stevenage
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 0-0 Bolton
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 1-3 Wycombe Wanderers

Having recently taken the scalp of Stockport, Stevenage know that they have the qualities to overcome some of the best teams in this division. However, we cannot back them to get the better of this Wycombe side, who we expect to finish strongly to claim the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawWycombe Wanderers
31.7% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 28.2% (-0.055 -0.05) 40.1% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.58% (0.17 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.53% (0.205 0.2)59.46% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.17% (0.158 0.16)79.83% (-0.161 -0.16)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.61% (0.14 0.14)34.39% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.9% (0.149 0.15)71.1% (-0.152 -0.15)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71% (0.105 0.11)29% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.1% (0.13 0.13)64.9% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 31.69%
    Wycombe Wanderers 40.1%
    Draw 28.19%
StevenageDrawWycombe Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.64% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.03% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.68%
3-1 @ 2.5% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.55% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 31.69%
1-1 @ 13.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.97% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.19%
0-1 @ 12.34% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.16% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.64% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 40.1%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Wycombe

Stevenage
17.2%
Draw
27.6%
Wycombe Wanderers
55.2%
29
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Stevenage
1-0
Wycombe

Lonwijk (7'), (90+1')
Stryjek (48')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Wycombe
0-1
Stevenage

Forino-Joseph (60'), Leahy (78'), Stryjek (90+12')
Reid (45+14')
Thompson (75'), Forster-Caskey (90+23')
Oct 10, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Stevenage
0-1
Wycombe

Thompson (69')
Vokes (70')
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Stevenage
3-0
Wycombe
Rose (4', 56'), Vancooten (81')
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Stevenage
2-2
Wycombe
(Aggregate 2-2 | Wycombe win 5-3 on penalties)
List (50'), Reid (77')
Reeves (46')
Akinfenwa (23'), De Barr (90+4')
Jacobson (27'), Pendlebury (34'), Burley (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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