We said: Stevenage 1-1 Stockport County
Though Stockport County have not drawn any of their last 12 matches, they may find themselves frustrated by Stevenage's defence.
Additionally, given Stevenage are the lowest scorers in the division, Saturday's game is unlikely to be a high scoring affair and could end in a stalemate.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.