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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Stockport County

Stevenage
2 - 1
Stockport

Kemp (22'), Reid (55' pen.)
Roberts (43'), Thompson (45'), Butler (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Camps (26')
Camps (40'), Bate (60'), Hinchliffe (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Stevenage
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stockport 2-3 Bradford
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Stevenage 1-1 Stockport County

Though Stockport County have not drawn any of their last 12 matches, they may find themselves frustrated by Stevenage's defence. Additionally, given Stevenage are the lowest scorers in the division, Saturday's game is unlikely to be a high scoring affair and could end in a stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawStockport County
41.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 27.27% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 31.67% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 49.25% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.9% (0.024000000000001 0.02)56.1% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.83% (0.018000000000001 0.02)77.17% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02)26.87% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.82% (0.018000000000001 0.02)62.18% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35% (0.013999999999996 0.01)32.65% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (0.016000000000002 0.02)69.19% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 41.04%
    Stockport County 31.68%
    Draw 27.27%
StevenageDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 11.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.04%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 8.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 31.68%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Stockport

Stevenage
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
Stockport County
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Stockport
2-0
Stevenage
Collar (34'), Rydel (90+5')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Stevenage
2-1
Stockport
Norris (88' pen.), Reid (90+5')
Rose (85')
Camps (58')
Palmer (10'), Horsfall (66'), Sarcevic (75')
Palmer (87')
Apr 9, 2011 3pm
Stockport
2-2
Stevenage
Tansey (67' pen.), Paterson (70')
Tansey (76')
Wilson (90'), Roberts (56')
Aug 21, 2010 3pm
Stevenage
3-1
Stockport
Bostwick (43'), Griffin (29', 71')
Mousinho (41')
Donnelly (90')
Tansey (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley208662926330
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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