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League One
Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Northampton Town

Stevenage
2 - 0
Northampton

Kemp (89'), Reid (90+1')
Piergianni (2'), Revell (3'), White (45'), Thompson (52')
Revell (0')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Eaves (2'), Odimayo (18'), McGeehan (51')
Eaves (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Stevenage and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup

Northampton Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Wigan 2-1 Northampton
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 0-1 Northampton Town

 Both clubs have struggled for form this season, though Stevenage have a commendable defensive record and Northampton are facing a major injury crisis. However, Jon Brady's team have managed to score 19 goals this term despite their circumstances, eight more than Revell's side, and this greater attacking threat could see them come out narrow winners on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 52.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 21.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawNorthampton Town
52.98% (-0.376 -0.38) 25.65% (0.398 0.4) 21.37% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 45.95% (-1.121 -1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.6% (-1.462 -1.46)56.4% (1.456 1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.59% (-1.194 -1.19)77.41% (1.188 1.19)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (-0.747 -0.75)21.34% (0.741 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7% (-1.163 -1.16)54.3% (1.158 1.16)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.41% (-0.865 -0.87)41.59% (0.859 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.92% (-0.767 -0.77)78.07% (0.761 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 52.97%
    Northampton Town 21.37%
    Draw 25.64%
StevenageDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 13.7% (0.45 0.45)
2-0 @ 10.58% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.45% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.172 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.11% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 52.97%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.87% (0.485 0.49)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 7.79% (0.25 0.25)
1-2 @ 5.28% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 21.37%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Northampton

Stevenage
26.1%
Draw
13.0%
Northampton Town
60.9%
23
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Stevenage
3-0
Northampton
Reid (2'), Roberts (42'), List (67')

Sowerby (52')
> Preview
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Northampton
0-1
Stevenage

Odimayo (17'), Hoskins (69')
Piergianni (80')
Piergianni (4'), Evans (5'), Butler (88'), Burns (90+13')
> Preview
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Northampton
1-1
Stevenage
Appere (5')
Reid (72')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Stevenage
2-3
Northampton
Rose (35'), Gilbey (85')
Appere (1' pen.), Bowie (82'), McWilliams (87')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Stevenage
1-2
Northampton
Lines (82')
McGowan (18'), Pinnock (50')
Hoskins (68'), Rose (78')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham21154237162149
2Wrexham23146335161948
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe22145347242347
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield22134536191743
5Stockport CountyStockport23107635241137
6Reading2211473632437
7Barnsley2310673432236
8Bolton WanderersBolton2110473231134
9Charlton AthleticCharlton229672721633
10Leyton Orient229492820831
11Mansfield TownMansfield219482724331
12Lincoln CityLincoln238782829-131
13Exeter CityExeter229492627-131
14Stevenage218581820-229
15Blackpool227783033-328
16Wigan AthleticWigan227692120127
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham216692023-324
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2273123943-424
19Northampton TownNorthampton2357112339-1622
20Bristol Rovers2264121935-1622
21Crawley TownCrawley2255122440-1620
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2245132139-1817
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2244142342-1916
24Burton Albion2227131835-1713
> League One Full Table


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