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League One
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League One | Gameweek 27
Feb 27, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
The DW Stadium
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Wigan
1 - 0
Bolton

Humphrys (69')
Magennis (45'), Smith (60'), Smith (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Maghoma (7'), Ogbeta (24'), Thomason (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wigan Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Cheltenham
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Blackpool 4-1 Bolton
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-3 Bolton Wanderers

 After falling to defeat at the weekend, Bolton will be determined to get their promotion bid back on track in Tuesday's meeting with one of their local rivals, and we think that the visitors will have the extra quality required to pick up all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawBolton Wanderers
27.66% (2.772 2.77) 25.07% (0.192 0.19) 47.27% (-2.966 -2.97)
Both teams to score 53.9% (1.805 1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.91% (1.224 1.22)49.08% (-1.226 -1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.84% (1.096 1.1)71.16% (-1.098 -1.1)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (2.9 2.9)31.95% (-2.902 -2.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (3.182 3.18)68.41% (-3.183 -3.18)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (-0.75800000000001 -0.76)20.79% (0.756 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.55% (-1.204 -1.2)53.45% (1.202 1.2)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 27.66%
    Bolton Wanderers 47.26%
    Draw 25.07%
Wigan AthleticDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.58% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 6.79% (0.555 0.56)
2-0 @ 4.32% (0.445 0.45)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.392 0.39)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.267 0.27)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.281 0.28)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 27.66%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.64% (-0.339 -0.34)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.32 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 10.43% (-0.79 -0.79)
1-2 @ 9.35% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-2 @ 8.19% (-0.83 -0.83)
1-3 @ 4.89% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-3 @ 4.29% (-0.546 -0.55)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.106 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 47.26%

How you voted: Wigan vs Bolton

Wigan Athletic
37.2%
Draw
16.3%
Bolton Wanderers
46.5%
43
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Bolton
0-4
Wigan

Iredale (53'), Jones (72')
Wyke (12', 75'), Humphrys (24', 45+4')
Humphrys (45'), Watts (56'), Adeeko (80')
Apr 2, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 41
Wigan
1-1
Bolton
McClean (7')
McClean (16')
Dadi Bodvarsson (83')
Santos (66')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 13
Bolton
0-4
Wigan

Johnston (27'), Santos (64'), Thomason (87')
Keane (6'), McClean (51', 81'), Lang (65')
Cousins (48'), Lang (56'), Pearce (77'), Massey (86')
> Preview
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Wigan
0-0
Bolton
 Wigan win 5-4 on penalties
Smith (38'), Darikwa (41'), McClean (43'), Power (44'), Pearce (60')
Kachunga (45+1'), Afolayan (75'), Lee (86')
> Match Report
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 38
Wigan
5-2
Bolton
Garner (4'), Massey (51'), Powell (55'), Jacobs (69'), Clarke (81')
O'Neil (62'), Ameobi (80')
Lowe (3')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628
> League One Full Table


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