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League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
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Oxford Utd
4 - 2
Wigan

Murphy (45+3'), Brannagan (55'), Rodrigues (76'), Goodrham (90+4')
Dale (39'), Moore (64'), Brannagan (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jones (41'), Aasgaard (80')
Hughes (12'), Maloney (13'), Adeeko (23'), Jones (42'), Sze (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Blackpool 1-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

Wigan Athletic

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Wigan Athletic

 With stakes growing in the battle for playoff places in League One, Oxford United know that they cannot afford a lot of slip ups. The hosts should edge this match but we expect the visitors to put up a good fight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawWigan Athletic
44.96% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 25.41% (0.02 0.02) 29.63% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.11% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.59% (-0.101 -0.1)49.41% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)71.45% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)21.96% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.76% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)55.24% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)30.66% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)66.91% (0.092000000000013 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 44.95%
    Wigan Athletic 29.63%
    Draw 25.41%
Oxford UnitedDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 10.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.15%
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.48%
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.95%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 29.63%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Wigan

Oxford United
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Wigan Athletic
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Wigan
2-0
Oxford Utd
Humphrys (17'), Lang (80')
Adeeko (20'), Shaw (60'), Lang (84')

Rodriguez (79'), Beadle (81')
> Preview
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Wigan
1-1
Oxford Utd
Lang (36')
Shinnie (49'), Lang (65')
Taylor (23')
Moore (34'), Kane (45+2'), Brannagan (65'), McNally (69')
> Preview
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Oxford Utd
2-3
Wigan
Williams (33'), Taylor (59')
Taylor (36'), McGuane (90+1')
Keane (8'), Power (32'), McClean (86')
Darikwa (30'), Power (36'), Naylor (44'), Whatmough (72'), McClean (90')
> Preview
Feb 14, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 29
Oxford Utd
2-1
Wigan
Winnall (72'), Moore (83')
Lang (57')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Wigan
1-2
Oxford Utd
Aasgaard (89')
James (83'), Merrie (90+8')
Taylor (61'), Henry (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham21154237162149
2Wrexham23146335161948
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe22145347242347
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield22134536191743
5Stockport CountyStockport23107635241137
6Reading2211473632437
7Barnsley2310673432236
8Bolton WanderersBolton2110473231134
9Charlton AthleticCharlton229672721633
10Leyton Orient229492820831
11Mansfield TownMansfield219482724331
12Lincoln CityLincoln238782829-131
13Exeter CityExeter229492627-131
14Stevenage218581820-229
15Blackpool227783033-328
16Wigan AthleticWigan227692120127
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham216692023-324
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2273123943-424
19Northampton TownNorthampton2357112339-1622
20Bristol Rovers2264121935-1622
21Crawley TownCrawley2255122440-1620
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2245132139-1817
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2244142342-1916
24Burton Albion2227131835-1713
> League One Full Table


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