MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 18:55:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
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Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
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Newport County
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Grimsby Town

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Grimsby Town

Chislett (60')
Biler (34'), Kalambayi (49'), Pell (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Simmonds (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Grimsby Town

Grimsby are bound to win in League Two sooner rather than later, and they showed their prowess on the road once again last weekend by stunning Cambridge in the FA Cup. Wimbledon have been on a strong run recently, but we have a sneaky feeling their unbeaten run may be coming to an end on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawGrimsby Town
35.17% (1.561 1.56) 27.34% (0.25 0.25) 37.5% (-1.802 -1.8)
Both teams to score 49.78% (-0.543 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.23% (-0.785 -0.79)55.77% (0.795 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.1% (-0.644 -0.64)76.9% (0.655 0.66)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (0.617 0.62)30.16% (-0.606 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (0.729 0.73)66.3% (-0.72 -0.72)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (-1.413 -1.41)28.73% (1.422 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.44% (-1.798 -1.8)64.56% (1.808 1.81)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 35.16%
    Grimsby Town 37.49%
    Draw 27.34%
AFC WimbledonDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 10.38% (0.477 0.48)
2-1 @ 7.77% (0.188 0.19)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.387 0.39)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.125 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.194 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 35.16%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.66% (0.263 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 10.8% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.08% (-0.263 -0.26)
0-2 @ 6.74% (-0.337 -0.34)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 37.49%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Grimsby Town

AFC Wimbledon
66.7%
Draw
6.7%
Grimsby Town
26.7%
15
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1710432517834
2Walsall1694330171331
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe178632115630
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
5Notts County177732315828
6MK Dons168352719827
7AFC Wimbledon1682625141126
8Chesterfield1767430201025
9Grimsby Town178181926-725
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood155732015522
13BarrowBarrow176471716122
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Colchester UnitedColchester173951922-318
19Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
20Bromley163851921-217
21Tranmere RoversTranmere164571020-1017
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
23Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
24Morecambe1734101729-1213


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