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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Leyton Orient |
33.61% ( 0.39) | 27.37% ( 0.37) | 39.02% ( -0.76) |
Both teams to score 49.47% ( -1.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.94% ( -1.38) | 56.06% ( 1.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.86% ( -1.13) | 77.14% ( 1.13) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.69% ( -0.44) | 31.31% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.34% ( -0.51) | 67.66% ( 0.51) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.02% ( -1.08) | 27.98% ( 1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.38% ( -1.4) | 63.62% ( 1.4) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Leyton Orient |
1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.95% Total : 33.61% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.88% Total : 39.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 34 |
2 | Walsall | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 30 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 26 |
8 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
20 | Bromley | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 17 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 17 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
23 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
24 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
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