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Championship header 2

League Two
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Newport County

Crewe
1 - 2
Newport

Brook (13')
McDonald (84'), Offord (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Norman (62'), Zanzala (85')
Drysdale (15'), Evans (45+2'), Demetriou (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Barnsley 3-0 Crewe
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-2 Derby
Sunday, November 27 at 3.15pm in FA Cup

We said: Crewe Alexandra 2-1 Newport County

 There is not much to separate the team in the league table, and that is likely going to create a close encounter between them on Saturday. However, while Newport County have put in some stronger performances as of late, the impressive home record of Crewe Alexandra should be enough to grant them the win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawNewport County
34.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 27.93%37.69% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.94% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)58.06% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.27% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)78.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)31.81% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.76% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)68.24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.27% (0.0020000000000095 0)29.73% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.21% (0.0039999999999978 0)65.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 34.38%
    Newport County 37.69%
    Draw 27.92%
Crewe AlexandraDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 34.38%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.46% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 11.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 2.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 37.69%

How you voted: Crewe vs Newport

Crewe Alexandra
50.0%
Draw
14.3%
Newport County
35.7%
14
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Crewe
P-P
Newport
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Newport
1-0
Crewe
Amond (93')

Lancashire (9')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Crewe
3-2
Newport
Bowery (34'), Porter (88' pen.), Ainley (90')
Ray (69')
Semenyo (65'), Amond (76')
Matt (72'), Semenyo (74')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
Newport
1-0
Crewe
Amond (33')
Crofts (16')

Kirk (45')
Mar 24, 2018 3pm
Newport
1-2
Crewe
Demetriou (81')
McKirdy (26'), Bowery (60')
Ng (83')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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