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Championship header 2

League Two
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Sutton United

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Sutton


Biler (33'), Bugiel (69'), Currie (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sowunmi (62')
Goodliffe (44'), Goodliffe (44'), Patrick (55'), Clay (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-2 AFC Wimbledon
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Mansfield
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Sutton United

 They defended better over the weekend, but Sutton United have yet to show much when in possession, and we do not believe their quality in front of goal will drastically improve by Tuesday. Hanging back could work for a while against Wimbledon, but we expect the home side to break through eventually, and one might be all it takes to defeat a Sutton side where morale is understandably low at the moment. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 74.11%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 10.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-2 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawSutton United
74.11% (-0.38300000000001 -0.38) 15.79% (0.394 0.39) 10.1% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.07% (-1.698 -1.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.27% (-2.088 -2.09)35.73% (2.081 2.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.2% (-2.34 -2.34)57.79% (2.333 2.33)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.77% (-0.57899999999999 -0.58)8.23% (0.5731 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.22% (-1.457 -1.46)28.78% (1.45 1.45)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.65% (-1.493 -1.49)44.34% (1.486 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.59% (-1.242 -1.24)80.4% (1.234 1.23)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 74.11%
    Sutton United 10.1%
    Draw 15.79%
AFC WimbledonDrawSutton United
2-0 @ 11.38% (0.55 0.55)
3-0 @ 9.47% (0.196 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 9.11% (0.682 0.68)
3-1 @ 7.71% (-0.158 -0.16)
4-0 @ 5.92% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.81% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.198 -0.2)
5-0 @ 2.96% (-0.109 -0.11)
5-1 @ 2.4% (-0.193 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.96% (-0.184 -0.18)
6-0 @ 1.23% (-0.082 -0.08)
6-1 @ 1% (-0.112 -0.11)
5-2 @ 0.98% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 74.11%
1-1 @ 7.41% (0.267 0.27)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-0 @ 3.65% (0.368 0.37)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 15.79%
1-2 @ 3.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.97% (0.187 0.19)
0-2 @ 1.21% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 10.1%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Sutton

AFC Wimbledon
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Sutton United
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Sutton
0-3
AFC Wimbledon

Beautyman (45+3'), Goodliffe (74')
Johnson (64'), Pell (80'), Tilley (86')
Al-Hamadi (65')
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Sutton
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Randall (13'), Bugiel (69')
Davison (40')
> Preview
Nov 22, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Sutton
Hudlin (17')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
AFC Wimbledon
0-1
Sutton
Eastmond (30')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Sutton
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
Wilson (47')

Guinness-Walker (71')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020
> League Two Full Table


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