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Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Sutton United

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Sutton


Biler (33'), Bugiel (69'), Currie (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sowunmi (62')
Goodliffe (44'), Goodliffe (44'), Patrick (55'), Clay (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-2 AFC Wimbledon
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Mansfield
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Sutton United

 They defended better over the weekend, but Sutton United have yet to show much when in possession, and we do not believe their quality in front of goal will drastically improve by Tuesday. Hanging back could work for a while against Wimbledon, but we expect the home side to break through eventually, and one might be all it takes to defeat a Sutton side where morale is understandably low at the moment. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 74.11%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 10.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-2 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawSutton United
74.11% (-0.38300000000001 -0.38) 15.79% (0.394 0.39) 10.1% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.07% (-1.698 -1.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.27% (-2.088 -2.09)35.73% (2.081 2.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.2% (-2.34 -2.34)57.79% (2.333 2.33)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.77% (-0.57899999999999 -0.58)8.23% (0.5731 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.22% (-1.457 -1.46)28.78% (1.45 1.45)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.65% (-1.493 -1.49)44.34% (1.486 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.59% (-1.242 -1.24)80.4% (1.234 1.23)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 74.11%
    Sutton United 10.1%
    Draw 15.79%
AFC WimbledonDrawSutton United
2-0 @ 11.38% (0.55 0.55)
3-0 @ 9.47% (0.196 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 9.11% (0.682 0.68)
3-1 @ 7.71% (-0.158 -0.16)
4-0 @ 5.92% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.81% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.198 -0.2)
5-0 @ 2.96% (-0.109 -0.11)
5-1 @ 2.4% (-0.193 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.96% (-0.184 -0.18)
6-0 @ 1.23% (-0.082 -0.08)
6-1 @ 1% (-0.112 -0.11)
5-2 @ 0.98% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 74.11%
1-1 @ 7.41% (0.267 0.27)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-0 @ 3.65% (0.368 0.37)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 15.79%
1-2 @ 3.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.97% (0.187 0.19)
0-2 @ 1.21% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 10.1%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Sutton

AFC Wimbledon
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Sutton United
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Sutton
0-3
AFC Wimbledon

Beautyman (45+3'), Goodliffe (74')
Johnson (64'), Pell (80'), Tilley (86')
Al-Hamadi (65')
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Sutton
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Randall (13'), Bugiel (69')
Davison (40')
> Preview
Nov 22, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Sutton
Hudlin (17')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
AFC Wimbledon
0-1
Sutton
Eastmond (30')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Sutton
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
Wilson (47')

Guinness-Walker (71')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall22154341192249
2AFC Wimbledon22114733181537
3Notts County22107535241137
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster2310763227537
5Port Vale2310762724337
6Grimsby Town23121103334-137
7Salford City2210662619736
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe229942619736
9Chesterfield2397737271034
10Bradford CityBradford229762824434
11MK Dons219483429531
12Bromley2271053126531
13Gillingham2293102221130
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham238693436-230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2251252623327
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood216962726127
17BarrowBarrow227692122-127
18Newport CountyNewport2275102938-926
19Tranmere RoversTranmere215791630-1422
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2364131935-1622
21Swindon TownSwindon2349102837-921
22Accrington StanleyAccrington2147102738-1119
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2246121734-1718
24Morecambe2345142039-1917
> League Two Full Table


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