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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Crawley
1 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Wright (83')
Gladwin (51'), Conroy (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Davison (13'), Al-Hamadi (18')
Lewis (15'), Jackson (16'), Reeves (27'), Al-Hamadi (45+3'), Currie (90+8')
Jackson (0'), Lewis (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-3 Mansfield
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-5 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 AFC Wimbledon

 This is a really tough match to call, as both sides will enter the contest in strong form. Crawley have home advantage, but AFC Wimbledon are playing some excellent stuff at the moment, and we are therefore finding it difficult to separate the two teams in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.78%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
32.93% (0.073 0.07) 22.99% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 44.09% (-0.14599999999999 -0.15)
Both teams to score 64.28% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.2% (-0.347 -0.35)36.8% (0.351 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.03% (-0.38 -0.38)58.97% (0.384 0.38)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (-0.124 -0.12)22.38% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.11% (-0.188 -0.19)55.89% (0.193 0.19)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.81% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)17.19% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.54% (-0.346 -0.35)47.46% (0.349 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 32.93%
    AFC Wimbledon 44.09%
    Draw 22.99%
Crawley TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 7.59% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.76% (0.077 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.31% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.15% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 32.93%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.68% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.066 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 6.78% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.97% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.24% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.92% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.31% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.73% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 44.09%

How you voted: Crawley vs AFC Wimbledon

Crawley Town
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
AFC Wimbledon
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
AFC Wimbledon
0-1
Crawley
Nadesan (5')
Sep 20, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
AFC Wimbledon
3-2
Crawley
Hudlin (29' pen.), Assal (75'), Frimpong (78')
Powell (59'), Frimpong (90+6' og.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Crawley
0-2
AFC Wimbledon

Omole (25'), Craig (45')
Craig (55')
Young-Coombes (15'), Chislett (45+1')
Davison (37'), Brown (72')
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
Second Round
AFC Wimbledon
1-2
Crawley
Pigott (22')
Rudoni (90+4')
Nadesan (30'), Watters (50')
Powell (45+3')
Apr 16, 2016 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Crawley
Robinson (83')
Smith (12'), Meades (61')

Della Verde (83'), Dunne (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall22154341192249
2AFC Wimbledon22114733181537
3Notts County22107535241137
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster2310763227537
5Port Vale2310762724337
6Grimsby Town23121103334-137
7Salford City2210662619736
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe229942619736
9Chesterfield2397737271034
10Bradford CityBradford229762824434
11MK Dons219483429531
12Bromley2271053126531
13Gillingham2293102221130
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham238693436-230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2251252623327
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood216962726127
17BarrowBarrow227692122-127
18Newport CountyNewport2275102938-926
19Tranmere RoversTranmere215791630-1422
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2364131935-1622
21Swindon TownSwindon2349102837-921
22Accrington StanleyAccrington2147102738-1119
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2246121734-1718
24Morecambe2345142039-1917
> League Two Full Table


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