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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Crawley
1 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Wright (83')
Gladwin (51'), Conroy (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Davison (13'), Al-Hamadi (18')
Lewis (15'), Jackson (16'), Reeves (27'), Al-Hamadi (45+3'), Currie (90+8')
Jackson (0'), Lewis (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-3 Mansfield
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-5 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 AFC Wimbledon

 This is a really tough match to call, as both sides will enter the contest in strong form. Crawley have home advantage, but AFC Wimbledon are playing some excellent stuff at the moment, and we are therefore finding it difficult to separate the two teams in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.78%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
32.93% (0.073 0.07) 22.99% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 44.09% (-0.14599999999999 -0.15)
Both teams to score 64.28% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.2% (-0.347 -0.35)36.8% (0.351 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.03% (-0.38 -0.38)58.97% (0.384 0.38)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (-0.124 -0.12)22.38% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.11% (-0.188 -0.19)55.89% (0.193 0.19)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.81% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)17.19% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.54% (-0.346 -0.35)47.46% (0.349 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 32.93%
    AFC Wimbledon 44.09%
    Draw 22.99%
Crawley TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 7.59% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.76% (0.077 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.31% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.15% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 32.93%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.68% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.066 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 6.78% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.97% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.24% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.92% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.31% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.73% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 44.09%

How you voted: Crawley vs AFC Wimbledon

Crawley Town
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
AFC Wimbledon
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
AFC Wimbledon
0-1
Crawley
Nadesan (5')
Sep 20, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
AFC Wimbledon
3-2
Crawley
Hudlin (29' pen.), Assal (75'), Frimpong (78')
Powell (59'), Frimpong (90+6' og.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Crawley
0-2
AFC Wimbledon

Omole (25'), Craig (45')
Craig (55')
Young-Coombes (15'), Chislett (45+1')
Davison (37'), Brown (72')
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
Second Round
AFC Wimbledon
1-2
Crawley
Pigott (22')
Rudoni (90+4')
Nadesan (30'), Watters (50')
Powell (45+3')
Apr 16, 2016 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Crawley
Robinson (83')
Smith (12'), Meades (61')

Della Verde (83'), Dunne (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020
> League Two Full Table


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