Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.