MX23RW : Sunday, January 12 11:00:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Colchester United

Carlisle
1 - 0
Colchester

FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Colchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 0-4 Mansfield
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-0 Walsall
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 44.88%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 27.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawColchester United
44.88% (0.163 0.16) 28.01% (0.336 0.34) 27.11% (-0.498 -0.5)
Both teams to score 44.96% (-1.21 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.55% (-1.38 -1.38)60.45% (1.382 1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.42% (-1.054 -1.05)80.58% (1.057 1.06)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12% (-0.557 -0.56)26.87% (0.558 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.81% (-0.739 -0.74)62.19% (0.73999999999999 0.74)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (-1.177 -1.18)38.51% (1.178 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-1.141 -1.14)75.26% (1.143 1.14)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 44.88%
    Colchester United 27.11%
    Draw 28%
Carlisle UnitedDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 13.6% (0.49 0.49)
2-0 @ 8.94% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.35% (0.525 0.53)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28%
0-1 @ 9.88% (0.196 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-2 @ 4.71% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 27.11%

Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Colchester
2-2
Carlisle
Smith (69'), Wright (74')
Chambers (70')
Patrick (51'), Sho-Silva (86')
Riley (33'), Roberts (41'), Mellish (65')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Colchester
2-1
Carlisle
Harriott (66' pen., 74')
Tchamadeu (90+2')
Mellish (29')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Carlisle
3-2
Colchester
Alessandra (4'), Mellish (29'), Hayden (81')
Riley (22'), Mellish (61'), Guy (64')
Norris (44', 52')
Pell (34'), Harriott (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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14-28
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Bills
9.30pm
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Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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