MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 19:14:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Colchester United

Carlisle
1 - 0
Colchester

FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Colchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 0-4 Mansfield
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-0 Walsall
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 44.88%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 27.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawColchester United
44.88% (0.163 0.16) 28.01% (0.336 0.34) 27.11% (-0.498 -0.5)
Both teams to score 44.96% (-1.21 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.55% (-1.38 -1.38)60.45% (1.382 1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.42% (-1.054 -1.05)80.58% (1.057 1.06)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12% (-0.557 -0.56)26.87% (0.558 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.81% (-0.739 -0.74)62.19% (0.73999999999999 0.74)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (-1.177 -1.18)38.51% (1.178 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-1.141 -1.14)75.26% (1.143 1.14)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 44.88%
    Colchester United 27.11%
    Draw 28%
Carlisle UnitedDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 13.6% (0.49 0.49)
2-0 @ 8.94% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.35% (0.525 0.53)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28%
0-1 @ 9.88% (0.196 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-2 @ 4.71% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 27.11%

Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Colchester
2-2
Carlisle
Smith (69'), Wright (74')
Chambers (70')
Patrick (51'), Sho-Silva (86')
Riley (33'), Roberts (41'), Mellish (65')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Colchester
2-1
Carlisle
Harriott (66' pen., 74')
Tchamadeu (90+2')
Mellish (29')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Carlisle
3-2
Colchester
Alessandra (4'), Mellish (29'), Hayden (81')
Riley (22'), Mellish (61'), Guy (64')
Norris (44', 52')
Pell (34'), Harriott (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1710432517834
2Walsall1694330171331
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe178632115630
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
5Notts County177732315828
6MK Dons168352719827
7AFC Wimbledon1682625141126
8Chesterfield1767430201025
9Grimsby Town178181926-725
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood155732015522
13BarrowBarrow176471716122
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Colchester UnitedColchester173951922-318
19Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
20Bromley163851921-217
21Tranmere RoversTranmere164571020-1017
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
23Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
24Morecambe1734101729-1213


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