We said: Cheltenham Town 1-0 MK Dons
Cheltenham Town have been solid at home so far this season, and we expect them to grind out another one-goal victory in this one. Even though MK Dons recorded a good win away at Charlton on Tuesday, it is too early to say whether they will turn around their poor start to the season.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.