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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
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Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Chesterfield
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Technique Stadium
Grimsby Town

Chesterfield
2 - 1
Grimsby Town

Berry (27'), Markanday (45+2')
Cook (0'), Oldaker (24'), Grimes (39'), Grigg (90+3')
Oldaker (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vernam (50')
Warren (26'), Vernam (58'), Carson (63'), Grigg (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Chesterfield and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Chesterfield
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-1 Bradford
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Chesterfield 2-1 Grimsby Town

Although Chesterfield lost their unbeaten record last time out, it was against the league leaders. With that in mind, we are expecting Cook's side to bounce back in a competitive fixture, extending Grimsby's losing streak on their travels to three matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.48%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chesterfield in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chesterfield.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawGrimsby Town
51.48% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04) 23.67% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 24.85% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.93% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.78% (0.192 0.19)45.22% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.43% (0.183 0.18)67.57% (-0.185 -0.19)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.41% (0.058999999999997 0.06)17.59% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.84% (0.102 0.1)48.16% (-0.103 -0.1)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (0.158 0.16)32.14% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (0.18 0.18)68.62% (-0.181 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 51.48%
    Grimsby Town 24.85%
    Draw 23.67%
ChesterfieldDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.61% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 51.48%
1-1 @ 11.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.67%
0-1 @ 6.42% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 24.85%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs Grimsby Town

Chesterfield
52.8%
Draw
11.1%
Grimsby Town
36.1%
36
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Chesterfield
1-4
Grimsby Town
Maguire (6')
King (6')
McAtee (27'), Holohan (31'), Clifton (50'), Taylor (78')
McAtee (28')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Dec 2, 2018 2pm
Second Round
Chesterfield
0-2
Grimsby Town
Vernam (37'), Clifton (70')
Clifton (71')
Apr 7, 2018 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-0
Chesterfield
Rose (88' pen.)
Fox (53'), Vernon (55'), Dembele (68'), Rose (88')

Reed (79'), Talbot (90')
Aug 5, 2017 3pm
Chesterfield
1-3
Grimsby Town
Dennis (82')
Donohue (5'), Dennis (86')
Evatt (83')
Clarke (33'), Jones (39'), Davies (85' pen.)
Mills (88')
Mills (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
3Port Vale2010642619736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham209382218430
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
14BarrowBarrow207582018226
15Bromley195952323024
16Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
18Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
20Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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