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Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 3
Aug 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Grimsby Town

Notts County
4 - 1
Grimsby Town

Jatta (6'), Crowley (15', 57'), Jones (45+1')
Bedeau (29'), Jatta (65')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Rodgers (45+4')
Green (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Notts County and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 2-2 Fleetwood
Sunday, August 18 at 1pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 3-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-1 Grimsby Town

 Everything points to this contest being decided by the odd goal in what should be a competitive fixture. While both teams have momentum, we are backing the home side to come through with maximum points, potentially finishing strong like they did against Fleetwood. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawGrimsby Town
38.67% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 23.89% (0.0039999999999978 0) 37.44% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 61.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)40.32% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.3% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)62.7% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)21.02% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.19% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)53.81% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36%21.63% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.25% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)54.75% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 38.67%
    Grimsby Town 37.44%
    Draw 23.88%
Notts CountyDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 7.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 38.67%
1-1 @ 10.85%
2-2 @ 6.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 8.31% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 6.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.72% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.44%

How you voted: Notts County vs Grimsby Town

Notts County
59.2%
Draw
14.1%
Grimsby Town
26.8%
71
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Grimsby Town
5-5
Notts County
Rose (7' pen.), Eisa (15', 62'), Clifton (52'), Wood (90+5')
Clifton (87')
McGoldrick (39', 90+2'), Langstaff (45'), Nemane (60', 79')
Baldwin (23'), Robertson (45+4'), Jones (84')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Notts County
3-2
Grimsby Town
Bostock (40'), Jones (50'), Crowley (61')
Palmer (8'), Nemane (45+4'), Stone (89'), Adebayo-Rowling (90+4')
Rose (17'), Clifton (45+7')
Glennon (24'), Rose (25'), Clifton (34'), Conteh (64')
> Preview
May 23, 2022 7.45pm
Notts County
1-2
Grimsby Town
Rodrigues (73')
O'Brien (38'), Brunt (100')
Holohan (90+6'), Dieseruvwe (119')
Clifton (43'), Taylor (70'), Waterfall (85')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Notts County
1-2
Grimsby Town
Roberts (15')
Rodrigues (30'), Brunt (32'), Taylor (79'), Cameron (84'), Lacey (90')
Taylor (76'), Waterfall (90')
Clifton (52')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Grimsby Town
0-1
Notts County

Hunt (86')
Rodrigues (90')
Rodrigues (45'), Roberts (54'), Nemane (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1710432517834
2Walsall1694330171331
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe178632115630
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
5Notts County177732315828
6MK Dons168352719827
7AFC Wimbledon1682625141126
8Chesterfield1767430201025
9Grimsby Town178181926-725
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood155732015522
13BarrowBarrow176471716122
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Colchester UnitedColchester173951922-318
19Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
20Bromley163851921-217
21Tranmere RoversTranmere164571020-1017
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
23Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
24Morecambe1734101729-1213
> League Two Full Table


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