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Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Mansfield Town

Colchester
0 - 2
Mansfield


Marshall-Miranda (35'), Dallison (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Harbottle (45+2'), Gale (90+7')
Perch (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 Harrogate
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 1-3 Mansfield Town

Colchester are only playing for league position, while Mansfield are targeting a place in the League Two playoffs, and we think that the extra motivation could propel the Stags to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawMansfield Town
33.55% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 28.02% (0.00099999999999767 0) 38.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 47.54% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.53% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)58.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)79.06% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)32.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)69.11% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.51% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.5% (0.0010000000000048 0)65.49% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 33.54%
    Mansfield Town 38.43%
    Draw 28.01%
Colchester UnitedDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 33.54%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 11.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 7.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 1.83%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 38.43%

How you voted: Colchester vs Mansfield

Colchester United
12.5%
Draw
0.0%
Mansfield Town
87.5%
8
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 20
Mansfield
2-1
Colchester
Swan (34'), Akins (90+2')
Hawkins (29')
Newby (10')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 31
Mansfield
2-1
Colchester
Oates (19'), Bowery (90+2' pen.)
O'Toole (18'), Akins (83'), Hewitt (90+6')
Judge (90+7')
Sarpong-Wiredu (23'), Kennedy (69')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 3
Colchester
1-1
Mansfield
Sears (90+5' pen.)
Skuse (58')
Hewitt (72')
Quinn (68'), Perch (90+4')
Feb 14, 2021 3pm
gameweek 29
Colchester
2-2
Mansfield
Harriott (39'), Nouble (89')
Pell (67')
Smith (4' og.), Perch (81')
Nov 20, 2020 7pm
gameweek 13
Mansfield
1-1
Colchester
Maynard (67')
Clarke (63'), Rawson (88')
Norris (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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