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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Mansfield Town |
33.55% ( -0) | 28.02% ( 0) | 38.43% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 47.54% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.53% ( -0) | 58.47% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.94% ( -0) | 79.06% ( 0) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.42% ( -0) | 32.57% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.88% ( -0) | 69.11% ( 0) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.51% ( -0) | 29.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.5% ( 0) | 65.49% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 7.38% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 33.54% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.61% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 7.16% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.49% Total : 38.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |