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Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Mansfield Town

Colchester
0 - 2
Mansfield


Marshall-Miranda (35'), Dallison (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Harbottle (45+2'), Gale (90+7')
Perch (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 Harrogate
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 1-3 Mansfield Town

Colchester are only playing for league position, while Mansfield are targeting a place in the League Two playoffs, and we think that the extra motivation could propel the Stags to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawMansfield Town
33.55% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 28.02% (0.00099999999999767 0) 38.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 47.54% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.53% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)58.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)79.06% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)32.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)69.11% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.51% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.5% (0.0010000000000048 0)65.49% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 33.54%
    Mansfield Town 38.43%
    Draw 28.01%
Colchester UnitedDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 33.54%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 11.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 7.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 1.83%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 38.43%

How you voted: Colchester vs Mansfield

Colchester United
12.5%
Draw
0.0%
Mansfield Town
87.5%
8
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 20
Mansfield
2-1
Colchester
Swan (34'), Akins (90+2')
Hawkins (29')
Newby (10')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 31
Mansfield
2-1
Colchester
Oates (19'), Bowery (90+2' pen.)
O'Toole (18'), Akins (83'), Hewitt (90+6')
Judge (90+7')
Sarpong-Wiredu (23'), Kennedy (69')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 3
Colchester
1-1
Mansfield
Sears (90+5' pen.)
Skuse (58')
Hewitt (72')
Quinn (68'), Perch (90+4')
Feb 14, 2021 3pm
gameweek 29
Colchester
2-2
Mansfield
Harriott (39'), Nouble (89')
Pell (67')
Smith (4' og.), Perch (81')
Nov 20, 2020 7pm
gameweek 13
Mansfield
1-1
Colchester
Maynard (67')
Clarke (63'), Rawson (88')
Norris (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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