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Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
Colchester United

Mansfield
2 - 1
Colchester

Swan (34'), Akins (90+2')
Hawkins (29'), Swan (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Newby (10')
Chambers (85'), Dallison (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Colchester United

Mansfield have been in poor form in recent weeks, but this game serves as a good opportunity to get their season back on track. The Stags do not have a great defensive record, so they may concede, but they should have too much quality for Colchester to contend with. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 62.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 15.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawColchester United
62.4% (-0.892 -0.89) 22.59% (0.398 0.4) 15.01% (0.498 0.5)
Both teams to score 43.59% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.38% (-0.615 -0.62)53.62% (0.619 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88% (-0.522 -0.52)75.12% (0.52500000000001 0.53)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.28% (-0.514 -0.51)16.72% (0.52 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.38% (-0.935 -0.93)46.62% (0.937 0.94)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.34% (0.348 0.35)47.66% (-0.345 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.02% (0.254 0.25)82.98% (-0.251 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 62.39%
    Colchester United 15.01%
    Draw 22.59%
Mansfield TownDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 14.25% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 12.74% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.6% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-0 @ 3.4% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 62.39%
1-1 @ 10.56% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.191 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 22.59%
0-1 @ 5.91% (0.198 0.2)
1-2 @ 3.91% (0.102 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.19% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 0.97% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 15.01%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Colchester

Mansfield Town
73.3%
Draw
13.3%
Colchester United
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Mansfield
2-1
Colchester
Oates (19'), Bowery (90+2' pen.)
O'Toole (18'), Akins (83'), Hewitt (90+6')
Judge (90+7')
Sarpong-Wiredu (23'), Kennedy (69')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Colchester
1-1
Mansfield
Sears (90+5' pen.)
Skuse (58')
Hewitt (72')
Quinn (68'), Perch (90+4')
Feb 14, 2021 3pm
Colchester
2-2
Mansfield
Harriott (39'), Nouble (89')
Pell (67')
Smith (4' og.), Perch (81')
Nov 20, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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