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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 62.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 15.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Colchester United |
62.4% ( -0.89) | 22.59% ( 0.4) | 15.01% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 43.59% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.38% ( -0.62) | 53.62% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.88% ( -0.52) | 75.12% ( 0.53) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.28% ( -0.51) | 16.72% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.38% ( -0.93) | 46.62% ( 0.94) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.34% ( 0.35) | 47.66% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.02% ( 0.25) | 82.98% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 14.25% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 12.74% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.67% Total : 62.39% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.59% | 0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.04% Total : 15.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 46 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
4 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Notts County | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 44 |
8 | Salford City | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 36 |
11 | Bromley | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 35 |
12 | MK Dons | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 34 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 |
17 | Gillingham | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 31 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 31 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 29 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 28 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 26 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
> League Two Full Table |