Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.