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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Mansfield Town

Newport
1 - 2
Mansfield

Wildig (86')
Bennett (19'), Demetriou (29'), Farquharson (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boateng (24'), Gale (73')
Hewitt (25'), Perch (38'), Keillor-Dunn (89'), Law (90+5')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Mansfield Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 2-0 Hartlepool
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Mansfield
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawMansfield Town
32.96% (0.019999999999996 0.02) 27.32% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03) 39.72% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.5% (0.11 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.03% (0.135 0.13)55.97% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.94% (0.108 0.11)77.06% (-0.111 -0.11)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31% (0.082999999999998 0.08)31.69% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.89% (0.094999999999999 0.09)68.11% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46% (0.069999999999993 0.07)27.54% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94% (0.089999999999996 0.09)63.06% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 32.96%
    Mansfield Town 39.71%
    Draw 27.32%
Newport CountyDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 10.03% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.43% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.85% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.21% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 32.96%
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.73% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 11.25% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.12% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 39.71%

Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Newport
1-1
Mansfield
Telford (82' pen.)
Baker-Richardson (74')
Pask (68' og.)
Hawkins (74'), Quinn (83'), McLaughlin (84')
O'Toole (73')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Mansfield
2-1
Newport
Maris (7'), Clarke (43')
Perch (30'), Gordon (68'), Hawkins (74')
Willmott (9')
Abraham (21'), Missilou (33'), Haynes (72')
Apr 9, 2021 6pm
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Newport
2-1
Mansfield
Twine (78'), Dolan (88' pen.)
McLaughlin (69')
Perch (65'), O'Keeffe (87'), Smith (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall26184452262658
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe271210534231146
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
4Port Vale2712963328545
5AFC Wimbledon25135737191844
6Notts County26128642271544
7Bradford CityBradford26128637271044
8Salford City2612683023742
9Grimsby Town27122133744-738
10Chesterfield269984031936
11Bromley2681173632435
12MK Dons26105113937235
13Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2697103639-334
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood258983331233
16BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
17Gillingham2594122326-331
18Swindon TownSwindon28710113542-731
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2885152338-1529
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2577113343-1028
21Newport CountyNewport2575133345-1226
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2668121940-2126
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2656152140-1921
24Morecambe2655162241-1920


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