Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
42.53% ( 1.05) | 24.87% ( -0.12) | 32.61% ( -0.93) |
Both teams to score 57.35% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.18% ( 0.28) | 45.82% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.87% ( 0.27) | 68.13% ( -0.27) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.44% ( 0.62) | 21.56% ( -0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.36% ( 0.94) | 54.64% ( -0.94) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.11% ( -0.43) | 26.89% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.8% ( -0.57) | 62.21% ( 0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.51% Total : 42.53% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 5% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 34 |
2 | Walsall | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 30 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 26 |
8 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
20 | Bromley | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 17 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 17 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
23 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
24 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |