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Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two
May 19, 2024 at 1pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Crawley
2 - 0
Crewe

Orsi (41'), Kelly (85')
Addai (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rowe (19'), Adebisi (59'), Tabiner (66')

The Match

Match Report

Crawley Town beat Crewe Alexandra 2-0 in the League Two playoff final at Wembley Stadium to earn a place in League One for the first time since 2015.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 1-5 Crawley
Saturday, May 11 at 7.45pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Doncaster 0-2 Crewe (3-4 pen.)
Friday, May 10 at 8pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
42.53% (1.048 1.05) 24.87% (-0.123 -0.12) 32.61% (-0.926 -0.93)
Both teams to score 57.35% (0.117 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.18% (0.284 0.28)45.82% (-0.285 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.87% (0.269 0.27)68.13% (-0.27 -0.27)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.44% (0.616 0.62)21.56% (-0.616 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.36% (0.938 0.94)54.64% (-0.94 -0.94)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.11% (-0.43000000000001 -0.43)26.89% (0.43 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.8% (-0.569 -0.57)62.21% (0.569 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 42.53%
    Crewe Alexandra 32.61%
    Draw 24.86%
Crawley TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.115 0.11)
1-0 @ 8.9% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.169 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.142 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.149 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.08 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 42.53%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.8% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.86%
1-2 @ 7.67% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-2 @ 5% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 32.61%

How you voted: Crawley vs Crewe

Crawley Town
54.8%
Draw
9.7%
Crewe Alexandra
35.5%
31
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Crewe
1-0
Crawley
Adebisi (61')
Rowe (11'), Cooney (16'), Offord (90'), Leigh (90+4')

Campbell (13'), Campbell (13'), Addai (54')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Crawley
2-4
Crewe
Lolas (15'), Darcy (28')
Conroy (2'), Wright (45+3'), Lolas (66'), Williams (90+7')
Tracey (20'), Conroy (56' og.), Baker-Richardson (75'), Nevitt (90+4')
Baker-Richardson (54'), Nevitt (90+6')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Crawley
2-2
Crewe
Offord (19' og.), Gladwin (90+7')
Agyei (51', 61')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Crewe
1-0
Crawley
Baker-Richardson (73')
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Crewe
2-1
Crawley
Porter (72' pen., 90')
Offord (83'), Ainley (90')
Ferguson (84' pen.)
Francomb (51'), Bulman (67'), Grego-Cox (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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