Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.