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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 48.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 24.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
48.66% ( 0.75) | 27.1% ( -0.13) | 24.24% ( -0.62) |
Both teams to score 45.12% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.9% ( 0.03) | 59.1% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.45% ( 0.02) | 79.55% ( -0.02) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.59% ( 0.37) | 24.41% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.17% ( 0.52) | 58.83% ( -0.52) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.69% ( -0.56) | 40.31% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.06% ( -0.51) | 76.94% ( 0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 13.87% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.34% Total : 48.65% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.32% Total : 24.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 34 |
2 | Walsall | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 30 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 26 |
8 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
20 | Bromley | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 17 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 17 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
23 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
24 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
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