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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Newport County

Crawley
2 - 1
Newport

Tilley (40'), Nadesan (57')
Nichols (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moriah-Welsh (79')
Bennett (47'), Norman (64'), Moriah-Welsh (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 3-0 Crawley
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Rochdale
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Newport County

 Neither club has started their individual seasons brightly, and both will be searching for three points this weekend in a bid to start building some momentum. However, the fact that each team is low on confidence is something that could lead to cautious play, resulting in a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawNewport County
28.52% (-0.055 -0.05) 26.29% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 45.18% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 50.69% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.45% (0.030000000000001 0.03)53.54% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94% (0.026 0.03)75.05% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)33.64% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.71% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)70.28% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (0.048000000000002 0.05)23.62% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (0.067 0.07)57.71% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 28.52%
    Newport County 45.18%
    Draw 26.29%
Crawley TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 8.66% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.52%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 11.46%
1-2 @ 9.01% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.27% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.34% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.98% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.44% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 45.18%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Newport
1-2
Crawley
Waite (59')
Waite (19')
Nadesan (15'), Francillette (21')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Appiah (55')
Appiah (56'), Nadesan (77')
Telford (84')
Norman (11'), Clarke (74'), Upson (75'), Fisher (88'), Lewis (90+5')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Newport
2-0
Crawley
Shephard (52'), Lewis (90+10')
Hartigan (58'), Sheehan (67')

Davies (17'), Tunnicliffe (83')
Nichols (89')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Demetriou (32' og.)
Hessenthaler (16'), Hesketh (68')
Allarakhia (59')
Haynes (5')
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Crawley
P-P
Newport
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Notts County28148645281750
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield28109943321139
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
14Bromley2781183635135
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020
> League Two Full Table


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