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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 19.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
19.38% ( 3.84) | 22.83% ( 1.31) | 57.79% ( -5.14) |
Both teams to score 51.26% ( 3.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.17% ( 0.69) | 47.84% ( -0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.98% ( 0.63) | 70.02% ( -0.63) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.23% ( 5.06) | 38.78% ( -5.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.49% ( 4.48) | 75.51% ( -4.47) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.73% ( -1.46) | 16.28% ( 1.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.18% ( -2.72) | 45.83% ( 2.73) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.93) 2-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.62) 3-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.47) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.37) Other @ 2.33% Total : 19.38% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.63) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.64) Other @ 1% Total : 22.82% | 0-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.94) 0-2 @ 10.4% ( -1.43) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 6.29% ( -1.24) 1-3 @ 5.96% ( -0.25) 0-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.74) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.26) 1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.26) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.06) 0-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.34) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.13% Total : 57.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 34 |
2 | Walsall | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 30 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 26 |
8 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
20 | Bromley | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 17 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 17 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
23 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
24 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
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