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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Bradford City |
27.67% ( 0.14) | 23.72% ( 0.01) | 48.61% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 58.42% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.86% ( 0.07) | 43.14% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.46% ( 0.07) | 65.54% ( -0.07) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.15% ( 0.14) | 28.85% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.29% ( 0.18) | 64.71% ( -0.17) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.11% ( -0.03) | 17.89% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.32% ( -0.05) | 48.68% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Bradford City |
2-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.46% Total : 27.67% | 1-1 @ 11.04% 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 3.68% Total : 48.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 30 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 30 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
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