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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Bradford City |
35.09% ( 0.01) | 26.97% ( 0.01) | 37.93% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.93% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.67% ( -0.03) | 54.32% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.29% ( -0.03) | 75.71% ( 0.02) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.51% ( -0.01) | 29.48% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.5% ( -0.01) | 65.49% ( 0.01) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.22% ( -0.03) | 27.77% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.64% ( -0.03) | 63.35% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Bradford City |
1-0 @ 10% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.82% 2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.47% Total : 35.09% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.72% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 37.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 46 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
4 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Notts County | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 44 |
8 | Salford City | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 36 |
11 | Bromley | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 35 |
12 | MK Dons | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 34 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 |
17 | Gillingham | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 31 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 31 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 29 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 28 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 26 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
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