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Championship header 2

League Two
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Barrow

Crewe
1 - 3
Barrow

Nevitt (58')
Nevitt (40'), Baker-Richardson (64'), Demetriou (66'), Thomas (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Whitfield (27', 76'), Garner (50' pen.)
Spence (34'), White (61'), Farman (84'), Gotts (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crewe 3-3 Accrington
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Barrow

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-3 Barrow
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-1 Barrow

 It is the third-best home record in the division this season meeting the strongest away from home, so it is shaping up to be a fascinating affair. Both managers will be wary of losing, which could create a cagey match, and we are expecting the points to be shared on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 49.61%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawBarrow
26.71% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 23.68% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 49.61% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Both teams to score 57.73% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.32% (0.055 0.05)43.67% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.93% (0.055 0.05)66.07% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.16% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)29.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.07% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)65.93% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28% (0.055000000000007 0.06)17.71% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.62% (0.096000000000004 0.1)48.38% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 26.71%
    Barrow 49.61%
    Draw 23.68%
Crewe AlexandraDrawBarrow
2-1 @ 6.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.87% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 26.71%
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 9.58% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.15% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.92% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.52% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.57% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.34% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.39% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.98% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.45% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 49.61%

How you voted: Crewe vs Barrow

Crewe Alexandra
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Barrow
57.1%
14
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Crewe
3-0
Barrow
Agyei (14' pen., 33' pen.), Long (89')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Barrow
3-0
Crewe
Waters (8'), Gordon (43', 60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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