Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.