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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
35.06% ( -0.17) | 24.28% ( -0.07) | 40.66% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 60.15% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.53% ( 0.28) | 42.46% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.13% ( 0.28) | 64.86% ( -0.29) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.14% ( 0.03) | 23.85% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.95% ( 0.05) | 58.04% ( -0.06) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.99% ( 0.23) | 21% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.22% ( 0.36) | 53.77% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 35.06% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 40.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 46 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
4 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Notts County | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 44 |
8 | Salford City | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 36 |
11 | Bromley | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 35 |
12 | MK Dons | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 34 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 |
17 | Gillingham | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 31 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 31 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 29 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 28 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 26 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
> League Two Full Table |