Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
33.69% (![]() | 25.67% (![]() | 40.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.94% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.91% (![]() | 49.09% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.84% (![]() | 71.16% (![]() |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.19% (![]() | 27.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.61% (![]() | 63.39% (![]() |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.1% (![]() | 23.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.89% (![]() | 58.11% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 8.51% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.79% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.44% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.86% Total : 33.69% | 1-1 @ 12.17% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.65% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.58% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 9.51% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.71% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.81% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 1.94% Total : 40.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |