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FA Cup
Barnsley
FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Barnsley
3 - 0
Crewe

Cole (30'), Benson (50', 57' pen.)
Andersen (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sambou (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Barnsley and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Port Vale 2-1 Barnsley
Wednesday, November 23 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Crewe
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barnsley 3-1 Crewe Alexandra

 Crewe Alexandra will arrive with plenty of confidence having put a run of results together after a tough year, but a trip to Oakwell will likely be a step too far, and we see them falling short against a strong and improving Tykes side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 15.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawCrewe Alexandra
62.13% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 21.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 15.97% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.62% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)49.31% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)71.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.66%15.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.25% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)43.75% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.08% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)79.91% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 62.12%
    Crewe Alexandra 15.97%
    Draw 21.89%
BarnsleyDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 12.57%
2-0 @ 11.79%
2-1 @ 9.75%
3-0 @ 7.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.09%
4-0 @ 3.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 1.18%
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 62.12%
1-1 @ 10.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.89%
0-1 @ 5.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 4.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 15.97%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Crewe

Barnsley
76.5%
Draw
5.9%
Crewe Alexandra
17.6%
17
Head to Head
Jan 5, 2020 2.01pm
Crewe
1-3
Barnsley
Green (48')
Brown (3'), Chaplin (75'), Thomas (94')
Diaby (86'), Williams (94')
> Match Report
Feb 27, 2016 3pm
Crewe
1-2
Barnsley
Guthrie (32')
Fox (5'), Nugent (66')
Winnall (53'), Mawson (67')
Bree (45'), Watkins (62'), Isgrove (69')
Oct 10, 2015 3pm
Barnsley
1-2
Crewe
Mawson (16')
Hourihane (66'), Scowen (85')
Colclough (14'), Dalla Valle (79')
Atkinson (25'), Baillie (54')
Feb 21, 2015 3pm
Barnsley
2-0
Crewe
Nyatanga (66'), Rachubka (79' og.)

Grant (65'), Jones (78')
Aug 16, 2014 3pm
Crewe
1-2
Barnsley
Waters (22')
Oliver (63')
Lita (57'), Cranie (75')
Winnall (71'), Cranie (73')
rhs 2.0
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