Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.