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Doncaster Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Rochdale

Doncaster
4 - 3
Rochdale

Seaman (6'), Close (9'), Biggins (37'), Anderson (81')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Rodney (14'), Williams (16' og.), Sinclair (77')
Ebanks-Landell (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Rochdale

Rochdale are a team in the need of points right now considering the fact they are in the relegation zone, and with Doncaster's current poor form this could be an ideal game. However, with Rovers having the home advantage, this could end up being another difficult fixture for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawRochdale
42.63% (0.248 0.25) 28.42% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 28.95% (-0.268 -0.27)
Both teams to score 44.9% (-0.18 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.96% (-0.16 -0.16)61.04% (0.158 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.97% (-0.121 -0.12)81.02% (0.12 0.12)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (0.057000000000002 0.06)28.35% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.91% (0.074999999999996 0.07)64.08% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (-0.302 -0.3)37.33% (0.3 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (-0.297 -0.3)74.11% (0.295 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 42.62%
    Rochdale 28.94%
    Draw 28.41%
Doncaster RoversDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 13.33% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 8.41% (0.077 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 42.62%
1-1 @ 13.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.58% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.41%
0-1 @ 10.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 28.94%

How you voted: Doncaster vs Rochdale

Doncaster Rovers
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
Rochdale
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Rochdale
1-2
Doncaster
Done (83')
Rathbone (54'), Keohane (90+3')
Richards (30', 56')
Jan 19, 2021 7pm
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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