Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.