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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Stockport County |
30.75% ( 0.68) | 25.09% ( 0.25) | 44.16% ( -0.93) |
Both teams to score 55.77% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.48% ( -0.77) | 47.52% ( 0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.27% ( -0.72) | 69.73% ( 0.72) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.06% ( 0.08) | 28.94% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.18% ( 0.1) | 64.82% ( -0.1) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.47% ( -0.74) | 21.53% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.41% ( -1.15) | 54.59% ( 1.15) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Stockport County |
1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 30.75% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.48% Total : 44.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |