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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 21
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Gillingham

Barrow
2 - 0
Gillingham

Chester (40'), Acauah (55')
Stockton (4'), Spence (9'), Campbell (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Coleman (39'), Williams (66'), Masterson (90+6'), Hutton (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Barrow and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 5-3 Barrow
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 1-1 Gillingham

Barrow may enter Tuesday's game as something of an unknown quantity given their lengthy break from League Two football, although Wild and co would have been afforded ample time to dissect their team's recent defensive woes. In contrast, Gillingham need no lessons in shutting up shop, but Barrow's fresh legs can wear down a jaded Gills backline and nick a point for their fans upon their return to football. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
BarrowDrawGillingham
41.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 27.42% (0.0010000000000012 0) 30.96% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.14% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)56.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)77.78% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.75%62.24% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)33.55% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)70.19% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 41.61%
    Gillingham 30.96%
    Draw 27.42%
BarrowDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 11.85%
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 7.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 3.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 41.61%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 9.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 9.86%
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 30.96%

How you voted: Barrow vs Gillingham

Barrow
62.5%
Draw
18.8%
Gillingham
18.8%
16
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Barrow
2-1
Gillingham
Morris (9' og.), Gotts (90+4')
Masterson (82')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Gillingham
1-1
Barrow
Baggott (74')
Kay (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2671273028233
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2784152338-1528
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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