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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gillingham win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 34.27% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Newport County win is 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.82%).
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Gillingham |
34.27% ( -1.01) | 25.11% ( -0.1) | 40.62% ( 1.1) |
Both teams to score 57.01% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.53% ( 0.28) | 46.47% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.25% ( 0.26) | 68.75% ( -0.26) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.81% ( -0.46) | 26.19% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.72% ( -0.62) | 61.28% ( 0.62) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.24% ( 0.67) | 22.76% ( -0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.56% ( 0.99) | 56.44% ( -0.99) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.29% Total : 34.27% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.23% Total : 40.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
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