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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
44.17% ( 0.12) | 25.48% ( -0.01) | 30.35% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 54.29% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.65% ( 0.01) | 49.35% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.6% ( 0.01) | 71.4% ( -0.01) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.7% ( 0.06) | 22.3% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.24% ( 0.09) | 55.76% ( -0.09) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.87% ( -0.07) | 30.13% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.73% ( -0.08) | 66.27% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 44.17% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 30.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
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