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Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Accrington Stanley

Grimsby Town
0 - 2
Accrington


Waterfall (17')
Waterfall (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Whalley (74'), Andrews (82')
Leigh (51'), Martin (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Grimsby Town 2-2 Accrington Stanley

Both sides have been scoring and conceding relatively freely during the opening period of the campaign, so we expect to see an entertaining encounter play out in Lincolnshire. Neither team should have any concerns about relegation this season, but equally a playoff push could be slightly beyond them, and we can envisage a score draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawAccrington Stanley
44.17% (0.118 0.12) 25.48% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01) 30.35% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 54.29% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (0.009999999999998 0.01)49.35% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)71.4% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7% (0.059999999999988 0.06)22.3% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.24% (0.087999999999994 0.09)55.76% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)30.13% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.73% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)66.27% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 44.17%
    Accrington Stanley 30.35%
    Draw 25.47%
Grimsby TownDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.56% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 44.17%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 30.35%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Accrington

Grimsby Town
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Accrington Stanley
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2022 7.30pm
Second Round
Grimsby Town
0-1
Accrington
Leigh (66' pen.)
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Grimsby Town
0-3
Accrington

Davies (22'), Matt (73')
Kee (56' pen.), McConville (61'), Jackson (77')
Jackson (31'), Brown (37')
Sep 12, 2017 7.45pm
Accrington
1-2
Grimsby Town
Jackson (45')
Hughes (65'), Wilks (90')
Jones (43'), Woolford (47')
Davies (12'), Matt (57'), Dembele (73')
Mar 25, 2017 3pm
Dec 26, 2016 3pm
Grimsby Town
2-0
Accrington
Bolarinwa (32'), Chambers (88')
Bogle (50'), Andrew (68')

O'Sullivan (62'), Pearson (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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