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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
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Morecambe
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Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Accrington Stanley

Grimsby Town
0 - 2
Accrington


Waterfall (17')
Waterfall (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Whalley (74'), Andrews (82')
Leigh (51'), Martin (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Grimsby Town 2-2 Accrington Stanley

Both sides have been scoring and conceding relatively freely during the opening period of the campaign, so we expect to see an entertaining encounter play out in Lincolnshire. Neither team should have any concerns about relegation this season, but equally a playoff push could be slightly beyond them, and we can envisage a score draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawAccrington Stanley
44.17% (0.118 0.12) 25.48% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01) 30.35% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 54.29% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (0.009999999999998 0.01)49.35% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)71.4% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7% (0.059999999999988 0.06)22.3% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.24% (0.087999999999994 0.09)55.76% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)30.13% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.73% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)66.27% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 44.17%
    Accrington Stanley 30.35%
    Draw 25.47%
Grimsby TownDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.56% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 44.17%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 30.35%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Accrington

Grimsby Town
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Accrington Stanley
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2022 7.30pm
Second Round
Grimsby Town
0-1
Accrington
Leigh (66' pen.)
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Grimsby Town
0-3
Accrington

Davies (22'), Matt (73')
Kee (56' pen.), McConville (61'), Jackson (77')
Jackson (31'), Brown (37')
Sep 12, 2017 7.45pm
Accrington
1-2
Grimsby Town
Jackson (45')
Hughes (65'), Wilks (90')
Jones (43'), Woolford (47')
Davies (12'), Matt (57'), Dembele (73')
Mar 25, 2017 3pm
Dec 26, 2016 3pm
Grimsby Town
2-0
Accrington
Bolarinwa (32'), Chambers (88')
Bogle (50'), Andrew (68')

O'Sullivan (62'), Pearson (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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