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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
Barrow

Grimsby Town
2 - 1
Barrow

Rose (37'), Wilson (75')
Conteh (32')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Foley (79')
Chester (45+3')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Barrow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 3-2 Doncaster
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawBarrow
41.21% (-1.119 -1.12) 27.93% (0.361 0.36) 30.86% (0.763 0.76)
Both teams to score 47.06% (-0.712 -0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.27% (-1.048 -1.05)58.73% (1.055 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.74% (-0.821 -0.82)79.26% (0.82799999999999 0.83)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.98% (-1.101 -1.1)28.03% (1.107 1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.33% (-1.424 -1.42)63.67% (1.43 1.43)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.39% (0.013999999999996 0.01)34.61% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.66% (0.013000000000002 0.01)71.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 41.2%
    Barrow 30.86%
    Draw 27.93%
Grimsby TownDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 12.33% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-0 @ 7.85% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 41.2%
1-1 @ 13.09% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 9.7% (0.381 0.38)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.93%
0-1 @ 10.29% (0.405 0.4)
1-2 @ 6.95% (0.065 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.216 0.22)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 30.86%

Head to Head
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 26
Barrow
0-1
Grimsby Town
Spokes (71')
John-Lewis (62')
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 11
Grimsby Town
1-0
Barrow
Gibson (60')
Waterfall (77'), McKeown (89')

Hird (41'), Platt (71')
Nov 10, 2015 7.45pm
Barrow
1-3
Grimsby Town
Khan (31')
Williams (70')
Amond (36', 85'), Gowling (60')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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