We said: Wrexham 1-0 Grimsby Town
Wrexham have been in good form, winning their last three games in all competitions, and they are unbeaten at home since the opening day of the season.
On the other hand, Grimsby Town are yet to pick up a win away from home this season, so we think the hosts will take all three points this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.