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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Walsall | Draw | Grimsby Town |
35.42% ( -1.83) | 26.34% ( -0.51) | 38.24% ( 2.35) |
Both teams to score 53.01% ( 1.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.31% ( 2.08) | 51.69% ( -2.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.53% ( 1.77) | 73.47% ( -1.77) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72% ( -0.1) | 28% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.35% ( -0.12) | 63.65% ( 0.13) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.63% ( 2.35) | 26.37% ( -2.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.49% ( 3.03) | 61.51% ( -3.03) |
Score Analysis |
Walsall | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.82) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.55) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.42% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.63) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.4) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.32) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.2) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 52 |
2 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 40 |
4 | Salford City | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 39 |
6 | Port Vale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 38 |
7 | Notts County | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 24 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 37 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 35 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | Bromley | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 28 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 23 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 27 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 24 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 22 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 |
22 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 22 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |