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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 52.48%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.45%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Harrogate Town |
52.48% ( -0.01) | 20.73% ( -0.01) | 26.79% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 68.61% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.55% ( 0.08) | 29.44% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.48% ( 0.1) | 50.52% ( -0.1) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.32% ( 0.02) | 11.68% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.24% ( 0.05) | 36.76% ( -0.05) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.68% ( 0.06) | 22.31% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.22% ( 0.09) | 55.78% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Harrogate Town |
2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.45% 2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.46% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 3% Total : 52.48% | 1-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.56% Total : 20.73% | 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 26.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |