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Walsall
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Gillingham

Harrogate
5 - 1
Gillingham

O'Connor (60'), Daly (68', 70'), Muldoon (90+3'), Odoh (90+5')
Dooley (15'), March (55'), Sutton (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lapslie (41')
Hutton (59'), Andrews (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Harrogate
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-0 Crewe
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-2 Gillingham

With Harrogate and Gillingham in contention for a playoff spot, we anticipate an action-packed contest at the EnviroVent Stadium, with both sides going all out for the result. However, we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 44%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawGillingham
30.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 25.24% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 44% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.27% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83% (0.024000000000001 0.02)48.16% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68% (0.020999999999997 0.02)70.32% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.75% (0.01700000000001 0.02)29.25% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.79% (0.021999999999998 0.02)65.21% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (0.007000000000005 0.01)21.87% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)55.12% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 30.76%
    Gillingham 44%
    Draw 25.24%
Harrogate TownDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 7.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.83%
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.98% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 30.76%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.08%
0-2 @ 7.39% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Gillingham

Harrogate Town
16.7%
Draw
50.0%
Gillingham
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Gillingham
1-0
Harrogate
Williams (90+4')
Williams (35'), Williams (59'), Masterson (64')

Ramsay (61')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Gillingham
0-2
Harrogate

Adelakun (45'), Wright (53'), Baggott (69'), Reeves (71'), Lee (87')
Daly (26'), Pattison (86')
Mattock (5'), Pattison (34'), Ramsay (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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