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Championship header 2

League Two
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
CNG Stadium
Hartlepool United

Harrogate
2 - 1
Hartlepool

Pattison (25'), Muldoon (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Umerah (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Colchester 2-1 Harrogate
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

Hartlepool United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-3 Carlisle
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 0-1 Hartlepool United

 With Hartlepool slightly improving since appointing Curle, we think that they will do just enough to win this one, in a closely-fought game. Umerah is likely to be the difference-maker if there is to be one, given his impressive start to the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawHartlepool United
43.79% (-0.11 -0.11) 27.05% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 29.17% (0.093 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.84% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.89% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)56.11% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.83% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)77.18% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)25.44% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.74% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)60.27% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.51% (0.062000000000012 0.06)34.5% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.79% (0.065999999999999 0.07)71.21% (-0.065000000000012 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 43.78%
    Hartlepool United 29.17%
    Draw 27.04%
Harrogate TownDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 12.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.22% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 43.78%
1-1 @ 12.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.78% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.34% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 29.17%

Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7pm
Hartlepool
2-0
Harrogate
Ndjoli (17', 33')

Burrell (14')
Mar 5, 2022 12.30pm
Harrogate
1-2
Hartlepool
Armstrong (21')
Molyneux (25'), Ferguson (62')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Hartlepool
3-2
Harrogate
Ferguson (52'), Cullen (53'), Daly (59')
Byrne (27'), Daly (63')
Thomson (28'), Burdett (35' og.)
Smith (55')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Hartlepool
0-1
Harrogate

Toure (36')
Stead (57')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Harrogate
4-1
Hartlepool
Kerry (54'), Muldoon (58' pen., 91'), Falkingham (68')
Kerry (47'), Burrell (63')
Kabamba (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513
> League Two Full Table


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