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Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
Gillingham

Hartlepool
0 - 0
Gillingham


Umerah (45')
FT

Wright (19'), O'Keefe (36'), Ehmer (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 0-0 Hartlepool
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Mansfield
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Hartlepool United 2-1 Gillingham

Neither of these teams are coming into this match with much confidence right now, and that is something that could lead to a struggle for quality in this one. However, Hartlepool could be set to enjoy a new manager bounce in this game, and if Curle can make an immediate impact it could lead to their first win of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.97%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawGillingham
40.18% (-0.16 -0.16) 29.29% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 30.53% (0.169 0.17)
Both teams to score 43.26% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.6% (0.079000000000001 0.08)63.39% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.25% (0.056000000000001 0.06)82.75% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)30.9% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.81% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)67.19% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.61% (0.174 0.17)37.38% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.83% (0.17 0.17)74.17% (-0.173 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 40.17%
    Gillingham 30.52%
    Draw 29.28%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 13.56% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.97% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 40.17%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 11.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.28%
0-1 @ 11.36% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.57% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.59% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 30.52%

How you voted: Hartlepool vs Gillingham

Hartlepool United
65.9%
Draw
22.0%
Gillingham
12.2%
41
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2018 7.45pm
Hartlepool
3-4
Gillingham
Magnay (21'), McLaughlin (32'), O'Neill (115')
Featherstone (45'), Loach (90')
Ehmer (50'), Eaves (90' pen.), O'Neill (102'), List (107')
Fuller (59'), Bingham (59')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Jan 26, 2010 3pm
Aug 22, 2009 3pm
Gillingham
0-1
Hartlepool

Miller (36'), Nutter (82')
Brown (65')
Hartley (13'), McSweeney (72')
Mar 8, 2008 3pm
Hartlepool
4-0
Gillingham
Collins (74'), McCunnie (90'), Monkhouse (21'), Porter (26')
Lee-Barrett (69')

Fuller (50')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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