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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 12.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
67.51% ( 0.24) | 19.54% ( -0.13) | 12.96% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 47.52% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.58% ( 0.34) | 45.42% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.25% ( 0.32) | 67.75% ( -0.32) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.53% ( 0.17) | 12.47% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.57% ( 0.35) | 38.43% ( -0.35) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.29% ( 0.04) | 45.71% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.51% ( 0.03) | 81.5% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
2-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.86% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 67.5% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 19.54% | 0-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.18% Total : 12.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 46 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
4 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Notts County | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 44 |
8 | Salford City | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 36 |
11 | Bromley | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 35 |
12 | MK Dons | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 34 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 |
17 | Gillingham | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 31 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 31 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 29 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 28 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 26 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
> League Two Full Table |